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Real Estate & Market Report: April 1, 2016

The stock market continues to rise and there seems to be little headwind now to slow it down.

  • Employment continues to remain strong and inflation is virtually non-existent.
  • The pleasurable thing about the current market rally is that it has not been accompanied by major swings in the indices.
  • The Dow is up just over 160 points for the first four days of trading this week, and none of the days have seen stomach turning movement.
  • It is a gradual and steady growth.

There were two positive housing reports released this week further supporting that the real estate market continues to be on track for slow but steady growth.

  • The report on pending home sales showed an increase of 3.5 percent from January to February.
  • This reverses the prior month’s decline of 3.0 percent.

The Case-Shiller House Price Index showed prices continue to rise.

  • Home prices for the 20-city adjusted index increased 0.8 percent for the month of January.
  • It is likely that with the spring market starting to take hold in many parts of the country, home price appreciation will likely increase as demand increases.
  • Prices are 5.7 percent above the same time last year.

The strongest gain in home prices was in the West.

  • Portland Oregon and Seattle Washington showed a monthly gain of 1.5 percent.
  • San Diego and Los Angeles followed with a 1.1 percent gain.
  • Surprisingly Chicago and Detroit were next with a 1.0 percent rise.
  • Shortages of available homes for sale, especially in the Pacific Northwest, are a major factor in the rapid rise of home prices.

Applications for purchase mortgages rose by 2.0 percent for the week of March 25th.

  • Refinance applications declined by 3.0 percent.
  • Mortgage rates have risen slightly over the last couple of weeks which has not been deterring buyers.
  • Refinances are much more rate sensitive which is why we have seen a more-steady decline in this area of mortgage financing.

Surprisingly, the never ending nonsense going on in politics has yet to dampen consumer confidence.

  • The index for measuring this remains at a very healthy 96.2 for March.
  • This follows the upward revision of February’s measurement to 94.

Finally, the labor department reported a gain of 215,000 jobs for March.

  • The unemployment rate increased to 5.0 percent from 4.9 percent.
  • T he increase was due to more people jumping back into the labor force looking for employment which is a positive sign for labor growth.
  • Wage increases continue to remain almost stagnant which is one of the reasons why inflation remains virtually non-existent.

Next week week’s potential market moving reports are:

  • Monday April 4th – Factory Orders
  • Tuesday April 5th – ISM Non-MFG Index & JOLTS Report
  • Wednesday April 6th – MBA Applications & EIA Petroleum Status & FOMC Minutes
  • Thursday April 7th – First Time Jobless Claims

As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can. Please feel free to reach me at (661) 505-4300.

Real Estate & Market Report: April 1, 2016

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