The stock market continues to rise and there seems to be little headwind now to slow it down.
- Employment continues to remain strong and inflation is virtually non-existent.
- The pleasurable thing about the current market rally is that it has not been accompanied by major swings in the indices.
- The Dow is up just over 160 points for the first four days of trading this week, and none of the days have seen stomach turning movement.
- It is a gradual and steady growth.
There were two positive housing reports released this week further supporting that the real estate market continues to be on track for slow but steady growth.
- The report on pending home sales showed an increase of 3.5 percent from January to February.
- This reverses the prior month’s decline of 3.0 percent.
The Case-Shiller House Price Index showed prices continue to rise.
- Home prices for the 20-city adjusted index increased 0.8 percent for the month of January.
- It is likely that with the spring market starting to take hold in many parts of the country, home price appreciation will likely increase as demand increases.
- Prices are 5.7 percent above the same time last year.
The strongest gain in home prices was in the West.
- Portland Oregon and Seattle Washington showed a monthly gain of 1.5 percent.
- San Diego and Los Angeles followed with a 1.1 percent gain.
- Surprisingly Chicago and Detroit were next with a 1.0 percent rise.
- Shortages of available homes for sale, especially in the Pacific Northwest, are a major factor in the rapid rise of home prices.
Applications for purchase mortgages rose by 2.0 percent for the week of March 25th.
- Refinance applications declined by 3.0 percent.
- Mortgage rates have risen slightly over the last couple of weeks which has not been deterring buyers.
- Refinances are much more rate sensitive which is why we have seen a more-steady decline in this area of mortgage financing.
Surprisingly, the never ending nonsense going on in politics has yet to dampen consumer confidence.
- The index for measuring this remains at a very healthy 96.2 for March.
- This follows the upward revision of February’s measurement to 94.
Finally, the labor department reported a gain of 215,000 jobs for March.
- The unemployment rate increased to 5.0 percent from 4.9 percent.
- T he increase was due to more people jumping back into the labor force looking for employment which is a positive sign for labor growth.
- Wage increases continue to remain almost stagnant which is one of the reasons why inflation remains virtually non-existent.
Next week week’s potential market moving reports are:
- Monday April 4th – Factory Orders
- Tuesday April 5th – ISM Non-MFG Index & JOLTS Report
- Wednesday April 6th – MBA Applications & EIA Petroleum Status & FOMC Minutes
- Thursday April 7th – First Time Jobless Claims
As your mortgage and real estate professional, I am happy to assist you with any information you may need regarding mortgage or real estate trends. I welcome the opportunity to serve you in any way I possibly can. Please feel free to reach me at (661) 505-4300.