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Independent Voters Leaned Republican In 2020 Santa Clarita Elections

Voters turned out in record numbers for Santa Clarita elections in 2020, with no-party-preference (NPP) voters leaning towards Republican candidates in several key races.

Over the past week, Los Angeles, Ventura and San Bernardino Counties certified their election results, marking the conclusion of several key races for the Santa Clarita Valley in 2020.

After going through 30 years of voter data provided by the California Secretary of State, KHTS has compiled several graphs to help break down and provide insight into who participated in elections pertinent to Santa Clarita.

All three of the key races examined below saw record-high voter turnout, which can be attributed to a variety of factors, including increasing population numbers and expanded window for people to vote.

Additionally, data shows that voters registered as either NPP or any other political party other than Republican and Democratic tended to vote in favor of Republican candidates. All three races below saw Repubican candidates receive more votes than the number of registered Republican voters, and Democratic candidates received less than the total number of registered Democrat voters.

25th Congressional District (CA-25)

Out of the 444,009 registered voters in CA-25 as of Oct. 19, approximately 76.3% participated in the 2020 election between Republican incumbent Congressman Mike Garcia and Democratic Assemblywoman Christy Smith.

This represents nearly a 30% increase in voter turnout compared to the district’s previous record in 2016, when 261,161 people voted in the election that saw then Republican Congressman Steve Knight win his first bid for re-election.

In 2020, Garcia won his bid for re-election by an estimated 0.1% of the vote in the closest Congressional race for the district in the past 30 years.

The full results can be viewed below.

Mike Garcia – R – Incumbent 169,638 — 50.05%
Christy Smith – D
169,305 — 49.95%

 

Garcia earned more total votes than the number of registered Republicans in the district, which accounts for just under 32% of the voter pool, while Smith earned just under 5,000 votes less than the total number of registered Democratic voters in CA-25.

This would indicate that more of roughly 22.7% of NPP voters sided with Garcia in the 2020 election than they did for Smith. A full breakdown of the number of registered voters can be viewed below

21st State Senate District (SD-21)

Out of the 549,549 registered voters in SD-21 as of Oct. 19, approximately 71.4% participated in the 2020 election between Republican incumbent Senator Scott Wilk and Democratic challenger Kipp Mueller.

This represents a little over a 28% increase in voter turnout compared to the district’s previous record in 2008, when 306,104 people voted in the election that saw Democrat Carol Liu win with just over two-thirds of the total vote.

It should be noted that voter turnout for SD-21 is historically larger than other races pertinent to the Santa Clarita Valley, as it not only has the largest pool of voters, but also coincides with presidential election years, which generally see larger turnouts than both primary and midterm elections.

In 2020, Wilk won his bid for re-election by an estimated 1.6% of the vote in one of the closest races for the district in the past 30 years.

The full results can be viewed below.

Scott Wilk – R – Incumbent 199,342 — 50.78%
Kipp Mueller – D
193,202 — 49.22%

 

Wilk earned more total votes than the number of registered Republicans in the district, which accounts for just under 30% of the voter pool, while Mueller earned over 20,000 votes less than the total number of registered Democratic voters in SD-21.

This would indicate that more of roughly 21.3% of NPP voters sided with Wilk in the 2020 election than they did for Mueller. A full breakdown of the number of registered voters can be viewed below

38th State Assembly District (AD-38)

Out of the 319,139 registered voters in AD-38 as of Oct. 19, approximately 61.4% participated in the 2020 election between Republicans Suzette Martinez-Valladares and Lucie Volotzky.

This represents a near 0.7% increase in voter turnout compared to the district’s previous record in 2016, when 194,778 people voted in the election that saw Republican Dante Acosta win with just under 53% of the total vote.

It should be noted that the increase in voter turnout for AD-38 is lower than CA-25 and SD-21, which may be due to the fact that two Republicans were running, which may have discouraged some Democratic voters from participating in the race.

In 2020, Valladares won her bid for the assembly seat by an estimated 76.1% of the vote.

The full results can be viewed below.

Suzette Martinez-Valladares – R 149,201 — 76.09%
Lucie Volotzky – R
46,877 — 23.91%

 

Valladares earned more total votes than the number of registered Republicans in the district, which accounts for just under 34% of the voter pool, while Volotzky only earned just under 47,000 total votes.

This would indicate that more of roughly 23.1% of NPP voters sided with Valladares in the 2020 election than they did for Volotzky. A full breakdown of the number of registered voters can be viewed below

For more information regarding California elections, click here.

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Independent Voters Leaned Republican In 2020 Santa Clarita Elections

9 comments

  1. Yes, they like the wonderful results that have kept SCV a great place to live! Just look what has been done to the disastrous Liberal cities from Seattle to LA, Chicago, Baltimore, Minneapolis, Kenosha, NY, etc.!!

    • Very well put, and that is the truth.

      As for Democrat voters, they won’t admit that they are fleeing their high crime and high tax cities, for Republican neighborhoods. They continue to spread their poison, without looking into the root cause of the idiots they vote for. Also if a person has a family with young children why the hell would someone support an agenda with the legalization of drugs, open borders (sanctuary city), open the prisons and let criminals out of jail, work towards taking firearms away from law abiding citizens, and supporting domestic terror groups BLM and ANTIFA.

      Now at this time, the local atheist Democrat will attack my free speech with all their hate.

  2. Your otherwise helpful report fails to point out that the area voting heavily Republican for Mike Garcia was Ventura County. The LA County portion of CA-25 voted heavily Democratic for Christy Smith.

  3. People make a community great, not politics.

  4. True, people make communities great and people vote, and if the vote Liberal which then becomes deranged and horrible! Look at the cities that are Liberal and then disgustingly vote Liberal from Seattle to LA, Chicago, Baltimore, Minneapolis, Kenosha, etc.—total degeneration! The decent cities that are Republicans thrive with prosperity, love, low crime, no gangster rap(PC called hip hop to sell, sell, sell to the brainwashed sheeple)by the soulless greedy producers!

    • There are good and bad people from both parties. I have friends from both. Don’t always agree, but i respect there opinions. I know i cant change their minds, so id rather just be friends and put that aside. When we’re all doing good things for our community party lines shouldn’t matter.

    • That’s all you got, isn’t it! The same old crack-addict rhetoric you’ve been spewing for months! You got a pea brain, my friend (just kidding about the friend thing 😉!) Get a life, you’re gonna have to deal with it! You’ve got no choice! (I love that part!) Nobody cares how angry you are anymore, so please do the right thing and move the hell outta California, and take your clone loser buddy Dufus with you, too, will ya?! Without you two this place would be a lot nicer, no question about it! 🤣

  5. Arn: Bongs are great mannnnn, ya mannn cool. You should be happy, heroin, Meth, ecstasy, etc. in deranged Oregon are going to be legal also—CA will be next! C’mon Man

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About Michael Brown

Michael Brown has lived in Santa Clarita his whole life. Graduating from Saugus High School in 2016, he continued to stay local by attending The Master’s University, where he achieved a Bachelor's Degree in Communication. Michael joined KHTS in January of 2018 as a news intern, and has since gone on to become the News Director for the KHTS Newsroom. Since joining KHTS, Michael has covered many breaking news stories (both on scene and on air), interviewed dozens of prominent state and federal political figures, and interacted with hundreds of residents from Santa Clarita. When he is not working, Michael enjoys spending time with his family, as well as reading any comic book he can get his hands on.